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Weak ADP Print and Hormuz Transit Collapse Split Fed Outlook as AI Trade Faces New Cracks
Six vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday and Jebel Ali faces existential risk, while Broadcom's miss and threatened tariffs on Samsung and…
 • MDB Research
Bond Rout Widens as Gold's War Hedge Breaks Down and AI Capex Accelerates
Dell's tripled AI server revenue guidance and $95 billion backlog defy the rate shock even as multi-decade sovereign yields and a seventh straight gold…
 • MDB Research
Iran Conflict Resumption and Hawkish Fed Signals Compound as Brent Tops $91 and Rate-Hike Odds Rise to 61%
A $17 billion KKR-Aon deal reopens the private-market realization channel even as California utility liability reprices on new wildfire legislation.
 • MDB Research

August 2026

Weekly Intelligence Review: August 24–29, 2026
The Week’s Story
 • MDB Research
Treasury's Debt Buybacks Collide With a Hawkish Fed Faction as 30-Year Yields Hold Near 5.31%
A short base equal to 39.8% of 10-year open interest sets up a possible squeeze even as Kalshi prices a September hold at 71% and a hike at 31%.
 • MDB Research
Nvidia's 70% Growth Guidance Spreads to Korean Rate Policy as Jackson Hole Looms
A softer core PCE print at 3.3% year over year fails to resolve the Fed's rate path ahead of Warsh's Friday keynote.
 • MDB Research
Fed's Hawkish Minority Surfaces as Crowded Treasury Shorts Face a Core PCE Test
Oil's risk premium keeps draining out even as Gulf transits lag the price move and Iran accuses the US of obstructing the Hormuz corridor talks.
 • MDB Research
Canada Tariffs and Treasury Balance-Sheet Plan Collide With a Repricing AI Trade
Hormuz transits below 20 ships and Nvidia's 15% price hikes add fresh strain as Jackson Hole looms as the week's bigger risk.
 • MDB Research
Weekly Intelligence Review: August 17–22, 2026
The Week’s Story
 • MDB Research
Treasury Buyback Fails to Hold Yields as Gold and Bitcoin Rally on Distrust
A second commodity shock is emerging as wheat prices jump on Black Sea disruption and fertiliser inflation, compounding the energy-driven price pressure…
 • MDB Research
Treasury's Buyback Gambit Splits Markets as Fed Signals No Room for Cuts
July Fed minutes show three dissents favoring a hike and no discussion of cuts, even as fiscal buybacks push long yields lower.
 • MDB Research
Investment Research Report: Moderna Inc (MRNA)
Research Date: August 19, 2026
 • MDB Research
© 2026 Daniele Malleo · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
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