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Weekly Intelligence Review: June 28 – July 4, 2026
This publication is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice.
Jul 4
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MDB Research
Meta Turns AI-Cloud Merchant, Forcing Capex to Show Its Return
As Washington declines to renew USMCA, a new trade-policy vector opens over North American supply chains — even as the chip-layer reversal reads as…
Jul 1
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MDB Research
AI's Best Quarter Since 2020 Splits the Buildout From the Bubble
As the Supreme Court shields the Fed but politicizes the SEC and CFTC, hard private capital keeps underwriting data-center power even where…
Jul 1
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MDB Research
June 2026
Net-Supply Wave Hits the Tape: M&A and Spinoffs Confirm AI Infrastructure Breadth
Oracle's worst week since 2001 sharpens the financing-fragility short, while a Supreme Court stay keeps Lisa Cook at the Fed and an Iran truce caps…
Jun 30
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MDB Research
Weekly Intelligence Review: June 22–27, 2026
This week the market worked through the consequences of two resolved binaries — Hormuz reopening and the Warsh FOMC — colliding with an AI/semiconductor…
Jun 27
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MDB Research
Micron's Blowout Confirms AI Memory Demand as the Application Layer Keeps Cracking
Ares becomes the sixth manager to gate redemptions — and the first scale survivor — even as all 32 banks pass a clean stress test that doesn't touch the…
Jun 25
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MDB Research
Higher Discount Rate Collides With the Chip Layer as Custom Silicon Codifies the GPU-Disruption Threat
Germany's F126 frigate cancellation confirms the European defense-funding unwind in hard data, even as US munitions-shortfall demand bifurcates cleanly…
Jun 24
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MDB Research
AI's Memory Layer Cracks as Higher-for-Longer Regime Collides With the Chip Trade
Apollo gates its flagship retail credit fund — the deepest liability-side signal yet — while a $17B federal nuclear program treats the power layer as…
Jun 23
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MDB Research
Hawkish-Hold Fed and Floored-Oil Regime Replace the Month's Twin Binaries
Accenture's 17% collapse hardens the AI-services-impairment thesis while three de-dollarization data points converge in a single day
Jun 22
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MDB Research
Two Binaries Resolve: Hormuz Reopens and Warsh Removes Forward Guidance
Crude falls to a war-low while the new Fed makes the rate path — not oil — the dominant near-term driver, even as AI demand-side stress signals…
Jun 18
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MDB Research
Iran War Memorandum Triggers First Verifiable Tanker Exit in 23 Cycles, But Hormuz Transit Stays Weeks Away
The two binaries that dominated last week resolved further in the directions the briefs positioned for, though neither is fully closed.
Jun 17
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MDB Research
Private Credit Liability Stress Broadens to a Fifth Manager as AI Debt Supply Compounds
A hot May PPI surge is contingent on Hormuz, while Oracle's negative free cash flow deepens the AI-capex credit channel.
Jun 12
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MDB Research
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